• US2YT=X

A 50bp cut in September 'more likely' after downward jobs revision

Citi analysts predict a higher chance of a 50 basis point Fed rate cut in September due to significant downward revisions in U.S. job gains and focus on unemployment rates.

• IT3MT=RR
• US10YT=X
• US2YT=X

Two 'smart market' recession signals to watch for

Sevens Research identifies key Treasury yield curve signals indicating a potential recession, emphasizing the importance of the 10Y-2Y and 10Y-3M spreads for investors to monitor.

• US10YT=X
• US2YT=X
• VIX

US Treasury yields to continue ascent as markets overhype Fed rate cuts: Reuters poll