Why JPMorgan predicts crypto VC funding in 2025 will fall short of 2021-2022 peaks

theblock.co 23/01/2025 - 15:42 PM

Crypto Venture Capital Funding Outlook for 2025

Crypto venture capital funding is projected to increase in 2025, although it may not reach the peaks observed in 2021 and 2022, according to JPMorgan analysts.

Regulatory Clarity and Investment

The anticipation of regulatory clarity in the U.S. and Europe is likely to boost investment; however, various new challenges loom for venture capitalists (VCs).

Competition from Financial Giants

A key issue is the competition posed by large financial entities such as BlackRock and Franklin Templeton, expanding their foothold in the crypto domain. Their focus is particularly on stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance, which could diminish the market share available for VCs. Recently, BlackRock has broadened its tokenized money market fund across multiple blockchains, potentially limiting new projects in the stablecoin territory.

Community-Driven Fundraising

Additionally, community-driven fundraising platforms like Echo are gaining traction, leading crypto projects to shy away from large token sales to VCs due to concerns regarding control and regulatory implications. This trend may pose challenges for traditional VCs in securing partnerships with promising startups.

Economic Conditions and Alternatives

High interest rates further complicate the landscape, as they diminish the attractiveness of venture capital relative to other investment avenues, constraining capital flow into the sector. Furthermore, the rising popularity of cryptocurrency ETFs diverts investor attention from early-stage startups. ETFs allow investors to gain exposure to crypto without investing directly in projects, thus shrinking the capital available to VCs.

Future Focus

Looking ahead, crypto VCs are expected to concentrate on projects demonstrating tangible user adoption and long-term viability, rather than traditional short-term metrics, like total value locked and tokenomics.

>This shift underscores a growing emphasis on the foundational aspects of blockchain technology, focusing on projects that enhance scalability, security, and efficiency.

The views of JPMorgan analysts align with recent insights from The Block, highlighting cautious optimism among crypto VCs for 2025. While many agree that funding levels won’t return to prior highs, they remark that startups exhibiting strong product-market fit and user adoption are best positioned to attract funding in the upcoming year.


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